No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address you certify that you are over 18, agree with our Terms & Conditions and indicate your consent to receiving email messages from us.

Australian Federal Election Predictions: 5 things that will happen in the July 2 vote

Rippa Staff 1 Jul 2016
  • What will happen at the Federal Election
  • Our five predictions from the betting markets

Victory looks assured for the Coalition with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull set to remain in government after the July 2 Federal Election, but what else will happen?

The actual result of the election looks done and dusted before the #AusVotes polls have even opened on Saturday morning.

But while a Coalition victory is an unbackable $1.08 in Sportsbet's Federal Election betting markets, there are still plenty of opportunities to find some value odds.

Here are our five predictions for the 2016 Federal Election:

1. Coalition to win

If you like to lump on a safe bet then just back the Coalition to win. It's better than bank interest after all!

2. Will there be a hung parliament - No

Such is the likelihood of a clear victory for Turnbull and the Coalition, this bet makes perfect sense. It's a slightly better option than just backing the Coalition for victory in terms of odds, and the polls suggest there is no way Labor can pull off a surprise on Federal Election day.

3. Coalition to win Hindmarsh seat

It's a competitive three-way fight for Hindmarsh but the smart money has come for the Coalition's Matt Williams to pip Steve Georganas (Labor) and Daniel Kirk (NXT) to the seat and it represents a value bet despite it expected to out on the closest votes.

4. Total Voter Turnout - Under 92%

With the Federal Election result effectively decided before the polls are open, the opportunity to cast a deciding vote is lessened and that might actually lower turnout on Saturday. 93%-93.49% is the most likely turnout, but it is worth chancing the outsider of the field of under 92% at the odds.

5. Time of Concession Speech - 11pm–11.59pm

It should be Bill Shorten making the concession speech if the odds are correct and a Coalition victory happens. But don't expect that to be too early. A speech between 10pm and 10.59pm is predicted but we think it could drag on and happen an hour later.




Upcoming Events

QLD BONUS BETS United States
Change state

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Australian Federal Election Predictions: 5 things that will happen in the July 2 vote

Victory looks assured for the Coalition with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull set to remain in government after the July 2 Federal Election, but what else will happen?

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages