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Sydney Swans v GWS Giants Elimination Final Predictions and Match Preview - Close one in store for cross-town rivals

Adam Cusworth 7 Sep 2018
Sydney and GWS feature in a sudden death final in the first week of the AFL Finals Series. Who will advance through to the Semi's?

The AFL's two Sydney based sides, the Sydney Swans and the GWS Giants, square off in what shapes as a tantalising Elimination Final at the SCG on Saturday September 8. 

The winner of the sudden death clash will live to fight another day, while the loser can bid farewell to the 2018 season. First bounce is at and all the action can be seen on Channel 7 and Fox Footy. 

Match Preview


Sydney and GWS would be slightly disappointed with their respective finishing position's after just missing out on the top four and the subsequent double chance. 

The Swans lost their Round 23 clash to Hawthorn by nine points and that defeat saw them finish in 6th position, while GWS come off two successive losses and have had to settle for 7th. 

The Giants battled injuries to key players in the concluding stages this season. They were beaten by Sydney to the tune of 20 points in Round 22 before going down to Melbourne by 45 in the last round of the regular season. 

Despite their recent hiccups, both sides should benefit from the week off in between games and we can expect to see some big names to return. Lance Franklin is the most notable of those and the Sydney superstar was the matchwinner the last time the two sides met. 

He will have a major say in proceedings, as will the Giants midfield trio of Callan Ward, Stephen Coniglio and Dylan Shiel. Those players are arguably in better form than their Swans counterparts. 

The Giants rank higher than the Swans for disposals and contested possessions, while they are competition's best for clearances. Sydney are 9th in this measure. 

Another interesting stat is that both sides rank very similarly for points scored and points conceded. The side that takes their chances and converts in front of goal should just about be the one that comes out in front. 

With Franklin sure to provide a target at one end, Jeremy Cameron will need to lift on his recent performances at the other end for GWS, while Giants fans will be hoping Toby Greene can prove his fitness and sneak into the side to add some much needed depth inside forward 50. 

Team News


Both sides have lengthy injury lists but Sydney are expected to regain a couple of big names in Lance Franklin and Luke Parker. Both missed the Hawks loss. 

GWS will be sweating on the fitness of Rory Lobb, who suffered a back injury in the loss to Melbourne. Toby Greene is an outside chance of returning and his presence would bolster the Giants forward line. 

Stats


Sydney have won 11 of the 15 encounters between the two sides including both matches this season. They met as recently as Round 22 and on that occasion it was Sydney by 20 points at Spotless Stadium. 

Earlier in the year, the Swans accounted for the Giants by 16 at the SCG. Sydney have a moderate record at their home ground this season, winning five from 11 at the venue. GWS have ventured to the SCG on six occasions since 2012 for just one win. 

Prediction and Tips


This shapes as a real flip of the coin job. Sydney are better placed from an injury perspective but if GWS can get their running game going they loom as a genuine threat. After a tight first few quarters, the Giants can overcome Sydney in what should be a close one. 


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Sydney Swans v GWS Giants Elimination Final Predictions and Match Preview - Close one in store for cross-town rivals

Sydney and GWS feature in a sudden death final in the first week of the AFL Finals Series. Who will advance through to the Semi's?

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