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Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons Match Preview and Predictions - Dees to prevail in a close one at the MCG

Gary Emmerson 14 Apr 2018
  • Preview and predictions for the Round 4 MCG clash between Melbourne and Hawthorn

One of the big games of AFL Round 4 will be when the Hawthorn Hawks take on the Melbourne Demons at the MCG on Sunday April 8. 

Both sides have made promising starts to their 2018 campaigns and little separates them in the head to head betting. 7mate and Fox Sports 3 will broadcast the game live. 

Match Preview


Hawthorn went down to last year's premiers by Richmond by 13 points in Round 3. The question out of that game was whether or not the margin was a tad flattering, given the Hawks were outplayed when the heat was in the contest before kicking a series of junk time goals. 

Alistair Clarkson's side have been in reasonably good form, however, defeating Collingwood and Geelong in the first two rounds and they are likely to welcome back a couple of key players this weekend. 

Their opponents, Melbourne, went down to Geelong in Round 1 but have rebounded by defeating a couple of lowly ranked sides in the Brisbane Lions and North Melbourne. Their win over the Kangaroos ended a long run of outs against that side. 

The equation for both sides is pretty simple. The winner will be 3-1 after the completion of Round 4, while the loser will be back with the field with an even win-loss record of 2-2. 

Both sides are evenly poised if you look at a number of key statistical measures. They are scoring well by averaging 15 goals in their first three matches, while Melbourne are performing slightly better defensively, although it could be argued they have had a slightly easier run into this. 

Hawthorn's midfield boasts the ball magnet, Tom Mitchell, who has averaged an astonishing 45 disposals in the first three matches of the season. He has been assisted well in the midfield by Jaegar O'Meara, however, the Dees have plenty of depth through the middle with Clayton Oliver, Nathan Jones and Christian Petracca all in good touch. 

Other key players, include Hawthorn's Jarryd Roughead and Luke Breust, who combined for seven goals in the loss to Richmond, while at the other end of the ground, Melbourne's Jesse Hogan and Jeff Garlett have also been amongst the action in front of the big sticks. Another big match up looms in the ruck, where Ben McEvoy and Max Gawn have been in great touch for their respective sides.

Team News


Hawthorn regain James Sicily from suspension. Tim O'Brien may be the player to make way. Melbourne's Angus Bradshaw, Mitch Hannan, Cam Peterson and Harley Balic are among a stack of players with from in the VFL but may be unable to squeeze into the side. 

Stats


Hawthorn enjoyed a massive streak of wins against Melbourne from 2007 until 2016 when the Demons overcame a 13 game losing streak against the Hawks by winning the Round 20 encounter that year by 19 points. 

However, the Hawks took out the most recent clash between the two sides, which was a three point thriller last year in Round 7. On that occasion, Jarryd Roughead booted four goals, while Ben McEvoy dominated in the ruck for the brown and gold against a Melbourne outfit that were without Max Gawn. Jesse Hogan and Jeff Garlett combined for six majors for the Demons. 

Prediction and Tips


It's hard to trust Melbourne sometimes but if they put it all together they will be too good for Hawthorn on Sunday. 


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Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons Match Preview and Predictions - Dees to prevail in a close one at the MCG

Preview and predictions for the Round 4 MCG clash between Melbourne and Hawthorn

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